Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 11.014329 12.936737 15.042637 17.513745 20.326553 23.421084 27.075383
2025-04-13 7.191620 9.619047 12.575414 16.406912 21.203384 26.968889 34.378381
2025-04-20 5.755038 8.518409 12.168544 17.262624 24.094644 32.836958 44.747609
2025-04-27 4.888626 7.876911 12.097764 18.351233 27.208023 39.104813 56.051690
2025-05-04 4.082801 7.112793 11.661195 18.768855 29.327750 44.117076 65.998387
2025-05-11 3.362176 6.311350 11.000407 18.699536 30.647193 48.024976 74.619059
2025-05-18 2.746510 5.544678 10.246865 18.338129 31.416428 51.111897 82.195790
2025-05-25 2.254601 4.885615 9.548742 17.937209 32.022027 53.925599 89.482141
2025-06-01 1.857040 4.314247 8.900604 17.509406 32.493772 56.506542 96.517869
2025-06-08 1.471597 3.680808 8.034060 16.572204 31.988964 57.454469 101.008695
2025-06-15 1.342289 3.552545 8.090294 17.287119 34.349354 63.164534 113.391055
2025-06-22 1.203853 3.374588 8.019214 17.745261 36.278115 68.263308 125.052932
2025-06-29 0.977438 2.958128 7.433386 17.211826 36.496826 70.714384 132.903913
2025-07-06 0.758723 2.503690 6.692757 16.282529 35.912954 71.791647 138.639435
2025-07-13 0.696277 2.443174 6.818886 17.163954 38.886521 79.394853 156.139892
2025-07-20 0.651982 2.421882 7.031528 18.253334 42.363281 88.138831 176.161371
2025-07-27 0.576796 2.287968 6.947190 18.670193 44.510581 94.560018 192.393241
2025-08-03 0.490330 2.091520 6.668240 18.601400 45.635845 99.118826 205.490713
2025-08-10 0.406431 1.874093 6.290300 18.241667 46.095721 102.410938 216.413034
2025-08-17 0.335354 1.674819 5.919909 17.842573 46.417917 105.434227 226.977603
2025-08-24 0.275548 1.493504 5.561248 17.416717 46.626804 108.225585 237.232285
2025-08-31 0.213751 1.275012 5.039894 16.483803 45.568582 108.345700 242.284938
2025-09-07 0.198110 1.251778 5.125866 17.195445 48.428277 116.752123 264.088405